Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 27.841354 32.155402 36.830360 42.261825 48.387169 55.069465 62.899136
2024-12-22 18.858729 24.381005 30.960881 39.327372 49.625731 61.827103 77.310999
2024-12-29 15.225785 21.502072 29.549533 40.505392 54.894657 72.996085 97.312654
2025-01-05 13.084575 19.889473 29.158540 42.495929 60.942996 85.267860 119.418286
2025-01-12 10.619730 17.300070 26.926794 41.501511 62.626840 91.681329 134.094473
2025-01-19 8.507435 14.805948 24.379086 39.577082 62.577442 95.447305 145.147794
2025-01-26 7.879289 14.468251 24.921495 42.155143 69.137031 108.866137 170.592669
2025-02-02 7.596488 14.627060 26.209132 45.941600 77.753956 125.808285 202.213676
2025-02-09 6.790148 13.754196 25.694223 46.750959 81.749778 136.032898 224.413619
2025-02-16 5.970077 12.719924 24.759471 46.722710 84.327044 144.157295 243.810304
2025-02-23 5.208741 11.668846 23.649499 46.239813 86.044559 150.946953 261.422866
2025-03-02 4.528897 10.663970 22.487280 45.512331 87.227404 156.866931 277.895417
2025-03-09 3.977729 9.873365 21.703122 45.528295 89.950901 165.924997 300.790287
2025-03-16 3.218912 8.506617 19.633183 42.938171 87.857881 166.842341 310.479833
2025-03-23 2.950623 8.189811 19.628886 44.321862 93.137231 180.792613 343.123608
2025-03-30 2.778634 8.067358 20.009244 46.499194 100.069502 198.080426 382.541385
2025-04-06 2.376142 7.295604 18.873849 45.426982 100.625851 203.923341 402.137550
2025-04-13 1.966727 6.413726 17.353843 43.343393 98.956101 205.506739 414.110985
2025-04-20 1.910704 6.479075 18.042185 46.135811 107.361721 226.418034 462.458019
2025-04-27 1.927392 6.753875 19.264632 50.234013 118.757953 253.643351 523.846453
2025-05-04 1.765550 6.474136 19.085150 51.109590 123.441949 268.196212 562.240438
2025-05-11 1.577786 6.074496 18.545077 51.079034 126.169252 279.061351 594.179365
2025-05-18 1.391405 5.635353 17.835789 50.556647 127.758804 287.723767 622.281165